Macro-Economic Sector Analysis
The Large Cap Growth Portfolio strategy combines a disciplined “top-down” analysis with a detailed fundamental “bottom-up” security selection process. LCM’s top-down analysis aims to identify macroeconomic trends that represent growth opportunities in the global economy. Macro analysis helps to determine our internal growth rates for sectors, as well as for the companies within them. A variety of data sources is used to establish relative value expectations of growth sectors that are likely to benefit from these broad themes and outperform over the next 12 to 24 months. Growth sectors are defined as those with higher potential revenue and profit growth than the U.S. economy.
The emergence of the growing economies of China and India as well as the rest of the developing world. Currently, the economies of the developing world are nearly equal to that of the developed world, and will soon surpass it. Rising populations and incomes (roughly 40% of the developing world currently lives on less than $2 a day) will have implications for US multinationals that can use their dominance in developed markets to enlarge their footprints in areas of higher economic growth (this includes consumer staples and technology companies).
The wide age demographic of the American population presents various investment opportunities in the healthcare arena. Further, overall world population growth strains the global food supply and relates to opportunities in the materials sector, such as fertilizer stocks. This extends further to energy, water, and other materials when the full food production process is taken into account.
Resource & Inflation Concerns
The likelihood of rising inflation in the years ahead makes economic growth a necessity. Higher resource prices will be a major contributor. Unprecedented levels of money will supply growth as huge economic stimulus flows through the economy with a multiplier effect. Conventional fuel shortages will not be an isolated problem as there are multiple materials involved in its extraction and production, creating strained supply/demand relationships. Building the infrastructure for sustainable renewable energy sources will take tremendous energy to produce essential commodities.
Investment Strategy Communicated With Transparency
Large Cap Growth
Large Cap Growth Portfolio strategy combines a disciplined top-down analysis with a detailed bottom-up security selection process.
Income & Growth
Income & Growth Portfolio strategy is based on generating income & long-term capital appreciation, holding positions for maximum gain.